Sunday, April 14, 2019

Statistical Model Estimate


One more example from the property above.  I mentioned earlier that I don’t have any idea what the “Statistical Model Estimate” is supposed to represent or how it’s calculated.  This is why. 

If you look at the Statistical Model Estimates for the comps on the “Assessor’s Comparable Sales” from the property above, and compare the statistical model estimate to the corresponding sale price and the adjusted sale price for the same column, there appears to be no correlation to anything.  

Further, the value of the statistical model estimate for properties listed on here as comps, do not match the value on the comparable property’s own “Assessor’s Comparable Sales” page.  Yet this statistical model estimate value is ultimately used as a factor in determining the market values.





If you click on the blue “I” next to the row description, you’ll see this:




Wordy, but not very helpful, and doesn’t explain why the statistical values are so inconsistent with the property values.  Nor does it explain multiple varying values for the same property.

No comments:

Post a Comment